
The real question for Central Asia importers in 2026 is whether to treat China-brand share as the first filter for picking an agency, not just chase a single low-price model. Anyone still using the old map misses the window where Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan ramp at the same time.
The background is that the share has climbed for real. Uzbekistan's China-brand share hit 17.8% Jan-Jul 2026 and Kazakhstan 14% in H1, with NEV over 70% across Central Asia.
Run the numbers. On Uzbekistan's 300,000 annual sales, 17.8% China-brand is about 53,400 units; at 8,000 RMB gross per unit that is a 427 million RMB pool a year. Take 10% of that agency, 5,340 units, and gross is 42.7 million. Three years ago with under 5% share the same scale grossed about 12 million, a 2.5x jump.
Three hard effects for importers. First, rework the agency mix and grab the fastest-rising brand's regional master while dropping fading old agencies. Second, the service network must keep up; 70% NEV means battery-drive warranty and charge advice become retention keys. Third, put right-hand drive, cold versions and local certification up front to cut registration friction.
Before ordering, three steps. First, verify with local associations or customs each country's China-brand share and growth, and build an agency map. Second, write regional exclusivity and service rebates into the contract to lock the channel for three years. Third, prefer brands with a local KD parts warehouse or certification. Send your country list for a channel calc before you commit, and price the stock on facts.
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